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Premier League Review: Key Insights from the 2023/24 Season

 Premier League Review: Key Insights from the 2023/24 Season

Arijan Ademi of Dinamo Zagreb and Mason Mount of Chelsea
Arijan Ademi of Dinamo Zagreb and Mason Mount of Chelsea FC battle for the ball during the UEFA Champions League group E match between Chelsea FC and Dinamo Zagreb at Stamford Bridge on November 2, 2022 in London, United Kingdom(Image-Getty) 



 By The Scout - 30 May 2024


 Overview

The 2023/24 Premier League season brought significant changes, especially with new managerial appointments that transformed team performances and individual player successes in Fantasy Premier League (FPL). This article delves into these transformations, focusing on the clubs that saw the most notable improvements in their Expected Goals (xG) and player performances.


 Bournemouth’s Revival Under Iraola

The appointment of Andoni Iraola as head coach last summer marked a turning point for Bournemouth. The Cherries recorded an xG of just 39.46 in the 2022/23 season, ranking among the lowest in the league. However, under Iraola's leadership, their xG surged to 56.59 in 2023/24, an improvement of 17.23—the third-best in the league.


| Club|2022/23 xG | 2023/24 xG|Improvement |


| Chelsea | 50.1        | 75.3           | +25.2 |

| Liverpool | 70.8      | 89.4           | +18.6 |

| Bournemouth| 39.5  | 56.7        | +17.2 |

| Aston Villa | 49.5     | 64.7          | +15.2 |

| Spurs | 57.7              | 68.9          | +11.2 |


Dominic Solanke was a major beneficiary of this tactical shift. In the previous season, Solanke had nine big chances and an xG of 9.20, converting just 7.9% of his shots. This season, under Iraola, Solanke enjoyed 28 big chances and an xG of 19.6, scoring 19 goals with a 17.4% conversion rate, helping him achieve 175 FPL points—45 points more than his previous best.


| Season | Big Chances | xG | Goals Conversion Rate |


| 2022/23      | 9             | 9.2     | 6        | 7.9% |

| 2023/24      | 28           | 19.6  | 19      | 17.4% |


 Spurs’ Offensive Boost with Postecoglou

Ange Postecoglou's arrival at Spurs, despite the departure of top scorer Harry Kane to Bayern Munich, significantly enhanced the team’s goal threat. Spurs’ xG increased from 57.74 under Antonio Conte in the previous season to 68.95 in 2023/24, an improvement of 11.21.


This tactical shift greatly benefited Son Heung-min, who saw a resurgence in his form. Son scored 17 goals and provided 10 assists, totaling 213 FPL points—61 points more than his previous season. He was involved in 43% of Spurs' goals under Postecoglou, compared to 28% under Conte.


| Season | Big Chances | Big Chances Created | Goals & Assists | Goal Involvement |


| 2022/23   | 14        | 8     | 16       | 28% |

| 2023/24   | 19        | 20   | 27       | 43% |


 Impact of New Management Across the League

The analysis of xG improvements across the league indicates that eight of the nine most improved teams experienced changes in management. Alongside Bournemouth and Spurs:


Chelsea and Wolverhampton Wanderers

 began the 2023/24 season with new managers.

Aston Villa and  Everton

 enjoyed successful first full seasons under Unai Emery and Sean Dyche, respectively.

Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest

changed their managers mid-season and are expected to improve further in 2024/25.


Other clubs, including 

Liverpool, Brighton & Hove Albion, and West Ham United

will look for similar positive impacts from their new managers in the next season.


 Conclusion

This season demonstrated how managerial changes could drastically alter a team’s attacking dynamics, significantly impacting FPL outcomes. As teams prepare for the 2024/25 season, these insights provide a foundation for predicting future performances and making strategic decisions in FPL.




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